海外研报

China data preview: a weak start to H2 2024

Slowing industrial production: The production subindexes of both official and Caixin manufacturing PMI slowed in July, signalling a

Which Is More Impressive, The 3Q Revenue Clip Or Zuck’s New 'Drip'?

META continues to execute at arguably the best pace of anycompany in digital advertising, with little revenue deceleration

Earnings Bars (AAPL, AMZN, DASH, INTC, MCHP, NET, SNAP), ARM, LRCX, META, QCOM

Sentiment: Still one of our more crowded shorts, but it’s seen substantial covering by equity L/S funds. In the wake of TXN (where embedded was weaker) and STM (MCU weaker) results – the latter of which feels more idiosyncratic

S&P Global PMI in Line With Expectations

BOTTOM LINE: The ISM manufacturing index declined in July, against consensusexpectations for a modest increase. The composition of the report was weak, as the

Powell has a labor market bee inhis bonnet

While the Fed left rates on hold today,both the FOMC statementand Powell's pressconference strongly hinted that the first cut is likely coming at the next meeting inSeptember, The statement shifted the Fed's worries from tilted toward

BANK OF ENGLAND TAKES A SMALL LEAP OF FAITH

The MPC has delivered a 25bp reduction that takes Bank Rate to 5% in what is essentially an “insurance” cut.As mentioned in the minutes, “it is now appropriate to reduce slightly the degree of policy restrictiveness" while

A hike, a hold and a cut

Central banks are in sharp focus this week. The Fed (Wed) has little upside to do anythingmore than hint that a September cut is on track. For the BoJ (Wed), we maintain our out-ofconsensus call for a 25bp

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a

Weekly spending update through July 27

Key takeaways• Total card spending per HH was up 0.1% y/y in the week ending Jul 27, according to BAC aggregated credit & debit card data.

US Daily: July Payrolls Preview (Walker/Rindels)

We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 165k in July, below consensus of +175kand the three-month average of +177k. We estimate private payrolls increased