海外研报

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

USA: Powell Notes Added Confidence from Second Quarter Inflation Progress

BOTTOM LINE: During an interview at the Economic Club of Washington D.C., FedChair Jerome Powell did not comment on the specific timing of the first rate cut but

The return of the rest?

In Friday’s CoTD (link here) we showed that before the 2000 bubble burst, the three “dullest” S&P 500 sectors (Consumer Staples, Healthcare and Utilities) had

Doubtful on growth, hopeful on the market

Investors turn more doubtful on the global growth outlookA net 27% of investors expect softening global growth over the coming 12 months, the

FSA Fixed Income Daily Commentary

US Treasury: US Treasuries rallied last Friday, despite higherthan-expected US wholesale inflation. The yield on the policydriven 2yr notes fell 6.3bps to 4.452%, its lowest level since

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and

DB CoTD: The greatest rotation...

Yesterday was a fascinating day for US equities. 396 of the S&P 500 were up on the day, the equal weighted index rose +1.17%, and the Russell 2000 small cap index

Framing The Upside Path to 2025 Operating Income

In this report, we preview AMZN’s upcoming Q2’24 operatingresults and increase our above-Street 2025 GAAP Operating Income

Global Macro Commentary

Fed Chair Powell says recent inflation data add confidence; USTs bear-steepen; BoC surveys show inflation expectations

Land of the rising equities and bond yields — a look at cross-asset moves in Japan

Last week a softer-than-expected CPI print pushed forwardrate cut expectations and prompted one of the largest