海外研报

Macro Risk Digest Lingering risks

Top of mind: hedging fiscal worries Fiscal concerns have increased in the US and Europe: we outline the key macro

JPY: BoJ – still buy the rumour sell the fact?

Asia overnightInvestors are taking some risk off the table ahead of a very busy few days of central

FX Watch Where to fade the JPY rally

Cross-JPY pairs have been in secular uptrends since the start of the current rate cycle in 2021, and drawdowns to 100d SMA have been common. On average, major G10/JPY

First Take: AMD, ANET, MSFT

Company posted a strong 3Q - backed by record Data Center revenues ($2.8b v, cons $2.75b) and strength in Clien($1.5b v, cons $1.43b). Positioning here was light, as it remains of the most controversial names in semis; after thepain of the past two

Armstrong World Industries Inc. (AWI): 2Q24 First Take

2Q Beats Consensus, Miss vs GSe Led by Margin: Armstrong reported 2Q adj.EPS of $1.62, below our $1.63 estimate but above FactSet consensus of $1.55. The

Mizuho China Weekly Outlook

China’s high-frequency indicators for July were mixed. On one hand, steel-related activity has eased further, with rebar prices hitting a new low since 2017 (Fig 8) and crude steel production declining at a

Americas Transportation: Railroads: Weekly Rail Carload Snapshot — Week 30

Total traffic results for US Class I rails under coverage imply carload growthat +6.2% YoY in week 30, an acceleration versus -0.7% YoY in week 29.

Midday Market Intelligence: idiosyncratic

...drivers of the marketApproximately 40% of the S&P 500 is expected to report this week across allsectors making it the biggest and perhaps one of the most important weeks of

Interest Rates Daily

With UK elections passed, and a Labour government which is trying to project an image of being spendthrift, markets have 14bp of cuts being priced into this week’s

USA: Job Openings Above Expectations; Consumer Confidence In Line with Expectations

BOTTOM LINE: Job openings declined in June from an upwardly-revised level inMay, above consensus expectations for a larger decline. After incorporating today’s