海外研报

USD: Trump vs Powell vs Trump

Investor sentiment was given a boost by FOMC Chair, Jerome Powell, expressingcautious confidence that US inflation has resumed a downward path, which led tosome pullback in UST yields. Curbing investor sentiment in Asia, however,

10-year GBs above 1% is dampeningapanese demand for US Treasuries

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated.Apollo GlobaManagement, inc. (together with its subsidiaries, "Apollo") makes no representation or warranty, expressed olimplied, with respect to the accuracy,

Equity Strategy

SPW, an equal weighted S&P500 index, has stalled since March, and is behind SPX so far this year by more than 10%. We think this is reflecting a changing Growth-Policy narrative vs early 2024. Entering this year, investor expectations were for a

Consumption Tax Not The Needof the Hour, Stimulus ls.

Recent government statements do not suggest any sense of urgency: Theconsumption tax was not mentioned in the annual fiscal auditing reportreleased on june 25, which discussed

Global Data Watch: Asia China: Two policy meetings in July

The swing of cyclical policy reactions aftects business cycle fluctuations. A shiftto an accommodative policy stance in 2l23 led to activity recovery in 2H23 and1024, but the fading

1st Positive Surprise of the Year

1. Deliveries beat, but... 2Q deliveries came to 443,956 units vs. MS at 427,303 and cons at 437,812. While this is one of the first and only positive

Data Preview: Mixed Picture in June,

Data preview: mixed picture again in June, slower Q2 GDP growth momentumFor the upcoming June data release, we expect smaller y/y decline in property sales on alow base,

Where are the conveXintlection/pain points in global markets?

Option delta hedging: a price movement amplifierDerivative trading can (significantly) impact asset prices via feedback effects of deltahedging strategies followed by option

Three investment lessons for the second halfUBS House View - Daily US

Thought of the dayGlobal equities started the second half of 2024 on a positive note. The S&P500 edged up 0.3% to stand just 0.2% beneath the all-time closing highstruck on 18 June. The index is

Cross asset ideas for yield

Summer simmerAs we approach midyear, Us large-cap stocks are holding on tosizzling gains, with the S&P 500 up 15% year to date andmaking several record highs, the latest set on 18 June. The