海外研报

The economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for emerging markets

Macro focus: With market-implied probabilities of a second Trump term rising, we take a first look at the potential reverberations for EMs. We view tariff policy as

DB CoTD: Into the top 10...

*** The 2024 II Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be able to vote. I have a pdf

Big sales of Financials stocks as earnings season kicks off

Single stock-driven outflows: Last week, during which the S&P 500 was +0.9%, BofA Securities clients were net sellers of US equities (-$3.3B) after the previous

Embracing Demographic Transition

Citi is one of the world’s largest financial institutions, operating in all major established and emerging markets. Across these world markets, our employees conduct an ongoing multi-disciplinary

Week 1: 3% beat in early days

Big Banks delivered on 1Q results, all beating on EPS but not enough to lift stocks higher. Net interest income was guided flat to down, but trading and investment banking

Rates Strategy Weekly "Hints gleaned from Bond Market Group meetings"

(1) Hints gleaned from Bond Market Group meetingsThe BOJ held a round of Bond Market Group meetings on 9–10 July. Reference materials

USA: GS Economic Indicators Update

Please find an update of our proprietary economic indicators below. The data behindthese exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found on our livingpage here.

Grab Holdings Ltd

A r.. Grab Holdings (GRAB) is the Southeast Asian market leaderin delivery and mobility services. It also offers digital financial services (fintech) and has partnered

Preview: have your hike and eat it too

We now expect the ECB to hike its rates by 75bp at its September meeting. Despite our natural dovishness, we have been pencilling in this

As they extend & pretend, we defend

The RIC OutlookUS households have a record $18.3tn in cash, +40% since ‘19. Cash is already a drag net of taxes, inflation, and Fed cuts. Where’s an asset allocator to go? We favor credit for the