海外研报
筛选
Global Rates Trader Front-end tipping point
Stars align for Fed cuts, tailwind for G10 front-end flatteners. Six months agothe US rates market embedded nearly 175bp of cuts for the year and the prospect of
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts
Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Global Fixed Income Markets Weekly
• Summary performance statistics for trades closed in 2022-2024• Covering Europe, UK, Scandinavia, Japan and Australia/New Zealand trades
海外研报
2024年07月19日
ChinaPulse: Q2’s 4.7%yoy growth shows the need for government to step up policy support
growth rate in the same period implied a -0.7%yoy GDP deflator for Q2. The growth deceleration was largely due to weakened support from service industry,
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Global Commodities What a Trump presidency could mean for commodities
Arguably the most important delta for physical commodity markets coming from a Trump Presidency—a proposed implementation of major tariffs on US imports —wouldn’t come for
海外研报
2024年07月19日
The rotation has yet to reach CCCs
Cuts are unlikely to flatten IG curvesn USD IG spread curves have remained remarkably stable this year. n A transitory downstream flow effect of Fed cuts on front-end spreads is possible
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Relative value models and analysis
Mean Rvt Rank is based on an autocorrelation statistic on spline spreads over the past month. 100 means the spread is highly mean reverting relative to others, and vice versa.
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Americas Energy: Oil: Majors & Refiners: Refreshing Select Estimates (VLO, MEG.TO)
We update forecasts for MEG.TO and VLO to reflect recent commodity prices forCanada oil and refining indicator margins for Valero. Our price target is unchanged for
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Global Macro Insight 17 July 2024
Door opening to Fed rate cuts, September eyed• The door is opening for the Fed to begin cutting rates soon, which we expect to start in September (25bp). Q2 inflation data indicate disinflation
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Emerging Market Weekly Pulse
The week started with pressure on EMs after the assassination attempt on former US President Donald Trump. Meanwhile, though Fed Chair Jerome
海外研报
2024年07月19日
