海外研报

Global Macro Insight

We think the economics of elevated wage growth and sticky service sectorinflation do not warrant a rate cut at the 1 August meeting, despite the

SOFR methodology tweak: minimal impact

SOFR changes: no affiliate trades, limit specials impactLast week the NY Fed proposed two very technical changes to the SOFR calculation

New Home Sales Below Expectations; Upgrade Q2 GDP Tracking Estimate to 2.6%

The goods trade deficit narrowed in June, led by an increase in exports. Wholesaleinventories increased somewhat less than expected. The S&P Global manufacturing

Market Analysis Comment Bullish broadening and rotation

2024 summer rally hits a wall at SPX 5600sThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied into the 5600s, achieving the target for the 2022-2023 bullish

Consolidation without expenditure compromise

Faced with a trade-off between fiscal consolidation and expectations demand

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index dropped 0.4% today. Philippines and Singapore marketsoutperformed, while Hong Kong and Korea markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ

Is the front end fairly priced?

Following the downside surprise in June CPI, along with benign readings for the relevant PPI components, the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation metric is likely to be

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities were mixed amid a somewhat choppy session (SXXP 0.1%,SX5E 0.4%, Adv 43% of SXXP). DAX (0.8%) and UKX (-0.4%) were the top and worst regions. Tech(1.4%) and Positive Al Sentiment (1.6%%) took

apan: rise in Nikkei due more to power of reflation than economic quality improvement

The ESG Macro Index, which represents the quality of the Japanese economy, improved to 0.81 in Q124 from 0.66 in Q423. The deteriorating