海外研报

GS Crypto: Distracted market reaction to US spot ETH ETFs trading debut

Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervention following a softer US CPI on 11th July, was the first time the government was selling into USD weakness (typically the BOJ have

refer to the views and observations of the desk.

Positioning + Flows .. not much reprieve last week during what has been one of the more dynamic momentum / positioning drawdowns we’ve

Fed set to hold again in July, but inching closer to cuts

A huge week lies ahead, with the July FOMC meeting on Wednesday followed in quick succession by the July employment report on Friday.

Navigating a Noisy Election

Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &

US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook

US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House

US Weekly Prospects

Fed on track for September easeAgainst this backdrop, the FOMC meets next week, Despite afew high-profile calls for the Fed to start cutting next week,that does not appear to be in the cards. Rather, we look foreasing

Global Rates Trader Growth Gains the Upper Hand

Recent moves in the front-end of G10 curves reflect a return to growth as the keyfocus for markets. The earlier part of the year was about inflation progress (or thelack thereof),

Baby Pool Closed for “Maintenance”

Anyone who ever got that notice from a town or community pool knows exactly what happened. It feels like some of that has gone on in our markets of late, ensuring that this is an “adult swim.” For

Weekly Warm-up: Does The Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome?

Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016-2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on the

July FOMC: one last hold?

The Fed is poised to stand on the sidelines for one more meeting at the July FOMC, as we expect the target range for the Federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. This would mark a full year, or eight