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Disinflation set to continue, but upside risks are plentiful over the summer
The disinflation in both headline and core inflation has stalled. Negative base effects will likely drag headline inflation to within touching distance of 2% in the autumn, but it will
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2024年07月31日
Positioning Intel; ON, FFIV & ST Previews; ANET; CDW; CHTR; CRWD; GLW
My colleague Jack Atherton, who covers Comm, Internet, Media and Sofware, is on New Parent Leave untilLabor Dax, I’l! be backing him up - ineluding sending this combined TMT morning daily, and providing hisearnings first-takes in the weeks to
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2024年07月31日
FX Viewpoint USD: Cool data, hot politics
Key takeaways• Cooling US data and Fed-speak has brought forward cut pricing and weighed on the USD. We expect more depreciation in H2.
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2024年07月31日
TIME TO TURN ATTENTION TO MANAGING THE FED BALANCE SHEET
The headline coming out of this week’s FOMC meeting will be the signal that funds ratecutting begins in September, with the usual caveats. Probably not reported but still very
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2024年07月31日
Week 3: risks of overinvesting in AI overinvestors
Half-time report: 3% beat, guidance improves for large206 S&P 500 companies (46% of index EPS) have reported, beating consensus EPS by
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2024年07月31日
G10 Consumer Dashboard: July 2024: Subdued Spending Despite Solid Fundamentals (Pierdomenico)
On the positive side, consumers continue to benefit from generally tight labormarkets in all economies. Since we last published the dashboard, the
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2024年07月31日
Emerging Insight The Great Divides in USD/CNY
Key takeaways• As the focus on USD vs. CNY valuation and trade intensifies, we take a broader look at key macro charts.
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2024年07月31日
Risk-reward still more favorable for cyclicals
Economics: The economy continues to defy its skepticsLast week, 2Q GDP surprised to the upside, signaling that even if the economy has slowed, it is still meeting its potential. This week, the focus will likely be on the Fed and
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2024年07月31日
BofA Securities Equity Client Flow Trends Third week of equity selling
Institutional clients continue to sell equities• Single stock-led selling: Last week, during which the S&P 500 was -0.8%, BofA Securities clients were net sellers of US equities (-$3.3B) for the third straight
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2024年07月31日
The message of a bond market
It is almost comical. Just as Wall Street and mainstream media became convinced that Donald Trump is the next US president, Joe Biden’s withdrawal and the sudden rush to gather around Vice President Kamala Harris
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2024年07月31日
