海外研报
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The big carry unwind is underway
The unwind is real but this morning’s moves are overdone. You can’t unwind the biggest carry trade the world has ever seen without breaking a few
海外研报
2024年08月07日
Indonesia: Steady growth beat, pockets of vulnerability
• The Indonesian economy expanded 5.05% yoy in 2Q24, similar to quarter
海外研报
2024年08月07日
10y JGB auction preview: A highly volatile climate
POTENTIAL POSITIVES・ BOJ's 31 July announcement has reduced uncertainty about JGB purchase taperingThe BOJ's "detailed plan" for tapering back its JGB absorption was basically in line with the
海外研报
2024年08月07日
Will the great unwind continue?
Market HighlightsMonday 5 August was a monumental day for markets. The Nikkei fell 12% which was the largest 1 day decline since 1987, the S&P500 fell 3% to end the day with the largest intra-day
海外研报
2024年08月07日
This material should be regarded as a marketing communication
After a relatively well-bid start of the week in rates (and ongoing panic in risk assets), global rates and markets
海外研报
2024年08月07日
Asia-Pacific Growth Monitor: EM Asia growth holding up, but factory surveys slow
This publication summarizes regional and country-specific growth data acrossthe Asia-Pacific economies we cover. In most cases, the latest data points are
海外研报
2024年08月07日
RECESSION APPEARS INEVITABLE BY YEAR- END, UNLESS THE FED CUTS (THEY WILL)
The search is on for indications that the economy is heading towards recession if the Fed fails to act sooner than later – not for indicators of recession itself. The softening data that are rolling
海外研报
2024年08月07日
De-grossing, Positioning Declines, and Rotations...Meaningful in July, But Could be Nearly Over
HF performance / alpha drawdown and de-grossing…are we done yet? July was the first month for negative Eq L/S alpha this year and de-grossing reached fairly extended levels for Eq L/S and Multi-Strats in
海外研报
2024年08月06日
Big GBP unwind in broad risk-off
At present, the G10 FX PIX 2.0 signals that the AUD, NZD and NOK areoversold while the CHF and JPY are overbought. We have temporarily
海外研报
2024年08月06日
BOJ, FED, FUEL SURGE IN EM FX VOLATILITY
Fed and BoJ meetings have further raised EM FX volatility. Last week’s FOMC meeting was widely interpreted as confirming the market expectation that the funds rate will be cut in
海外研报
2024年08月06日
