海外研报

Apr-Jun GDP Quick Comment: Domestic Demand Recovery Reaffirmed

2024 reveal that real GDP growth came in at 3.1% SAAR, exceeding both the Bloomberg consensus of 2.3% and our 2.6% prior forecast (Japan Economics: Apr-Jun

A truer signal from the unemployment rate

Historically, a substantial rise in the unemployment rate has been associated with a recession. But changes in the unemployment rate can be amplified or damped by

Retail Sales: Just Keep Spending

Retail sales in July well exceeded expectations. The beat in retail sales was broad-based and showed that consumption remains solid,

Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Derivative Thinking

All attention this week will be on Jackson Hole, where the conference has been aptly titled “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy.” We

TOPIX rises 7.9% wow, continuing its recovery from the recent steep fall

Summary of the weekTOPIX: 2,678.60 (7.9%) / NK225: 38,062.67 (8.7%)

Healthcare Pulse: The Backdrop Into August’s Dog Days...

n Alongside all the macro ping-pong of the last severalweeks, the performance trajectory of the HC sector can

G10 Cuts Broaden as Data Stabilize

Activity data since the July NFP release have steadily chipped away at fears that theUS economy is rolling over. Cooperative inflation news solidified an already robust

Global FX Trader Rates Exaggerate

Our thoughts on USD, CHF, BRL, IDR, AUD/NZD, THB & Jackson Holen USD: Markets or macro. Investors have been asking whether the wild swings

Back Up To Moderately Overweight

After the abrupt cut to underweight last week,our measure ofaggregateequity positioning bounced to turn moderately overweight again (z score0.33, 63rd percentilel, but is still well below the mid-July highs at the top ofthe historical band. Discretionary

US Economics Weekly in the datavei

CITI'S TAKEStronger-than-expected retail sales and the drop in initial jobless claimsraised market optimism that a "soft landing" might still be achieved, but thecontinued contraction in manufacturing, falling