海外研报

MS - European Equity Strategy - Demystifying Cyclicals vs Defensives_20240917

The recent sharp underperformance of cyclicals vs defensives is almost exactly in-line with the soft landing playbook (both 1995-

US--Long awaited easing cycle commences with a bang

With the FOMC meeting in the rear view, it will be a quieter week ahead,with highlights including PCE inflation, personal income & spending,

JPM_Positioning Intell Weekly Wrap_20240920

In the US, HFs remained net sellers (-1.3z in past 5d) as selling/de-grossing prior to the Fed was not reversed on Wed/Thurs. Gross and net leverage were basically unchanged WoW. Retail investors did not seem particularly

GS--VIVE Focus Vision launch supporting 4Q24 recovery; immersive and low-latency VR/MR experiences

New VR headset launched: HTC launched a new headset model, VIVE Focus Visionin Sep 2024 (link), priced at US$999, equipped with an immersive display, dual color

GS--Healthcare Pulse: Macro/Micro Mash-Up ... Investor sentiment

The T+1 reaction function across HC in the immediateaftermath of this week’s Fed cut was consistent with “right

GS--Global FX Trader Is The First Cut the Deepest?

USD: Fed brings better balance; adjusting our forecasts. With a 50bp rate ncut, the FOMC most likely chose the option that leads to lower economic and1

GS--Foreign buying led by Taiwan; Large inflows into US ETFs

Foreign (FII) flows / positioningn EM Asian ex-China region saw buying (+US$1.1bn) this

GS--mplications of dovish Fed for Asian FX and rates markets

1. Implications of a US soft landing outlook for Asian FX markets. The Fed’s50bps cut earlier this week appears to have calmed market fears of a US recession.

DB_Investor Positioning and Flows_20240920

Our measure of aggregate equity positioning rose modestly again this week but is not yet elevated and only about mid-way within the upper half of its long-run band (z score

DB_Commitment of Traders_20240920

Interest Rates: Speculators were bearish in Treasury futures, extending their net short positions by 134K contracts in TY equivalents over the week