海外研报

Week 1: 3% beat in early days

Big Banks delivered on 1Q results, all beating on EPS but not enough to lift stocks higher. Net interest income was guided flat to down, but trading and investment banking

As they extend & pretend, we defend

The RIC OutlookUS households have a record $18.3tn in cash, +40% since ‘19. Cash is already a drag net of taxes, inflation, and Fed cuts. Where’s an asset allocator to go? We favor credit for the

Breaking up

EUA prices are stuck at €65–75/t and are unlikely to shift far out of that range in the coming week. The call option open interest (OI) stack still to be more highly hedged

Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle

Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.

Attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump

On Saturday evening, former President Donald Trump was wounded in anassassination attempt during a campaign rally. A bystander was killed, andtwo others were critically wounded. The assailant was shot dead by securityservices.

Land of the rising equities and bond yields — a look at cross-asset moves in Japan

Last week a softer-than-expected CPI print pushed forwardrate cut expectations and prompted one of the largest

Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It

Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming

Housing deflating, demographics deteriorating, and exports slowing

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated. Apollo GlobalManagement, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”) makes no representation or warranty, expressed or

DB CoTD: The 2% club has increased

** The 2024 II Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be able to vote. I have a pdf

The Buffalo Is Back

While economic surprises have been negative lately, leading indicators and easing global central-bank policies point to the slow global expansion gaining traction in the second half of 2024 and 2025.