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July FOMC meeting: Not quite there yet
Not quite there yetIn our view, the main message from the July FOMC meeting is that the Fed is getting closer to a rate cut, but needs more evidence that inflation is under control before it
海外研报
2024年08月05日
Rate Cuts and Recession Risk After the July Employment Report
The July employment report was weak across the board, with soft gains in bothpayroll and household employment and another 0.2pp increase in the
海外研报
2024年08月05日
Earnings Bars (AAPL, AMZN, DASH, INTC, MCHP, NET, SNAP), ARM, LRCX, META, QCOM
Sentiment: Still one of our more crowded shorts, but it’s seen substantial covering by equity L/S funds. In the wake of TXN (where embedded was weaker) and STM (MCU weaker) results – the latter of which feels more idiosyncratic
海外研报
2024年08月02日
Powell has a labor market bee inhis bonnet
While the Fed left rates on hold today,both the FOMC statementand Powell's pressconference strongly hinted that the first cut is likely coming at the next meeting inSeptember, The statement shifted the Fed's worries from tilted toward
海外研报
2024年08月02日
Precious Metals Trading Desk View
This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a
海外研报
2024年08月02日
Weekly spending update through July 27
Key takeaways• Total card spending per HH was up 0.1% y/y in the week ending Jul 27, according to BAC aggregated credit & debit card data.
海外研报
2024年08月02日
How effective is currency hedging usingforwards?
One of the many complexities in currency risk management arises from effectivelymanaging risk of a portfolio exposed to continuous currency exposure. This isimportant for both corporations and asset managers alike. For corporations, thisform
海外研报
2024年08月02日
EURO CRISIS 2.0 – THE “CRISIS” AT THE CORE
There is talk of a new euro crisis, this time centred on core EMU countries like Germany and France. This fear is unwarranted. While low interest rates stimulated the EMU core during the
海外研报
2024年08月02日
ROIC on Capex Showing Through in Engagement, Revenue and Longer-Term Call
META remains the best case study of how GPU-enabled analyses of leading first party data sets can drive material
海外研报
2024年08月02日
USA: Initial Jobless Claims Above Expectations; Productivity Growth Stronger Than Expected
BOTTOM LINE: Initial jobless claims increased more than expected in the weekended July 27. The increase was led by a jump in filings in Michigan, which we
海外研报
2024年08月02日
