海外研报

poast Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

Stocks struggled for direction yesterday as markets looked ahead to a packed data calendar for the rest of the week. The S&P500 closed flat, the NASDAQ rose 0.21% and the EuroStoxx 50

SALES COMMENTARY ONLY (NOT A PRODUCT OF RESEARCH)

What a week – not only in markets but also in sports. With the Summer Olympics set to conclude on Sunday, it’s been nothing short of

What Determines Cross-Country Differences in r*? (Daly)

The neutral real rate (r*) – the equilibrium real policy rate that is neitherstimulatory nor contractionary, consistent with output at potential and stable

Gaze Into the Data Long Enough...

Friday saw equities continue their recovery from steep selloffs early last week and the preceding Friday. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ both rose by around half a percentage point and the

Oil Tracker: Positioning: Only Up From Here

The Brent crude price rebounded by 6% from a week ago as broader macro marketscontinued to recover, as solid US activity data shifted energy investors’ focus from

The Yen Carry Trade—A Roadblock to BoJ Hikes, Not Fed Cuts (Fishman/Kanter)

The recent sharp appreciation of the Yen coinciding with a spike in cross-assetvolatility has heightened the focus on the “Yen carry trade” and the broader

Don’t throw away a nest egg!

As this week made clear once more, it is always important to keep a nest egg for a rainy day.Being able to whether storms is crucial when one is invested in risky assets so one is not forced to

UBS House View Monthly Extended August 2024 - intra-month update

The original report, published on 18 July 2024, is being republished to remove our Asset Class downside scenarios, as

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a

Navigating 2025 AI cloud investment

The Morgan Stanley tech team's median expectation is for NVIDIA-related stocks to grow 37% Y/Y and non-NVIDIA to grow 14%.