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Tail wags dog as rate hike expectations fade despite hawkish rate increase
The BoJ increased its policy rate to 0.25% at the July 30-31 Monetary Policy Meeting when the market was not expecting it and also emphasized its intention to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Trading Catalysts Eyes on Jackson Hole, minds on NVDA
Economics: Slow and steadyThe message from last week’s data was clear: inflation is soft enough for the Fed to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Regime Indicator weakened, Recovery in question
Regime Indicator slips. Downturn next?Our US Regime Indicator declined in July for the first time since December 2023,
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Q2 preview: bumpier path, same compelling destination
Blackwell transition could mute upside near-termMaintain Buy, top sector pick ahead of NVDA FQ2 (Jul) results due 28-Aug. Media reports
海外研报
2024年08月20日
US Labor Market: Cracks Beneath The Surface
The US unemployment rate has clocked in below 4.5% for 33 consecutive months. However, this historicallylow rate camouflages nascent cracks in the US labor market.
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The US Fiscal OutlookIs Unsightly,But A Debt Crisis Is Not Inevitable
Executive SummaryInvestors have observed that pandemic spending materially worsened the USfiscal outlook and are asking our US strategists about it in nearly every meeting
海外研报
2024年08月20日
USD: in the shadow of the Rockies
It was a tentative start to the week for risk sentiment. The rhetoric from the Fed remains mixed. While dovish FOMC voter Mary Daly expressed more confidence
海外研报
2024年08月20日
FAST FX Fair Value Model--USD looking undervalued
The FAST FX model continues to sit out the FX markets and remains up 2.50% over the past year with a hit rate of 50%. Heading into the Jackson
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Rates StrategyWeekly supply Preview
Global supply next week: Euro area, Us, UK, JP, AUS & NZNominal supply is scheduled in the Euro area (expect ~EUR4.5bn), US (USD16bn), UK(GBP3.75bn), Japan (JPY1.65tn),Australia (AUD1.5bn) and New Zealand
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Rates StrategySep/Dec Futures roll
Repo risk is meaningful for DecGiven the uncertain path of the Fed over the next few months, valuation of the Deccontracts will be sensitive to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
