海外研报

Global FX Strategy What if RFK Jr. joins Trump’s campaign?

CITI’S TAKE Nicole Shanahan – RFK Jr.’s running mate – suggested today that their campaign could join Donald Trump as one of two options (the other is

The Global Point Wednesday, 21 August 2024

Geopolitical and economic risks are back in focus. We update our proprietary Geoeconomic Risk Premium model, which measures how much of a “geo-economic”

Steel prices are down, but the consumer pays a green premium

Steel prices have fallen, but green steel at a premiumSteel prices have been under pressure in Europe and the US. Yet a decline of EU

Global Earnings Revision Ratio Earnings rebound

Global Earnings Revision Ratio resumes uptrendThe “hint of softness” in earnings expectations on which we reported in July was short

Boeing Co. (BA): Monthly aircraft delivery tracker: August mid-point check-in

Our aircraft delivery tracker, based on Planespotters data, shows Boeing hasdelivered 24 aircraft thus far in August through 8/21, including 16 737 MAX, 2 777, 3

Learnings from Q2 earnings

Decent Q2 earnings. The Q2 reporting season saw EPS growth improving sequentially in bothEurope and US to 3% and 10%, respectively, well above consensus estimates. Both of these

LULA CLAWS BACK A SHARE OF THE BUDGET

Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF) has handed the executive branch another win in the latter’s attempt to regainmore control over the federal budget. The latest ruling relates to the so-called “PIX amendments”, which refer to

The Euro’s powering a balance of payments boom

My colleague Fabien Bossy sent me the chart (below) of the Eurozone current account this morning. Europe’s current account surplus reached EUR 51bn in June, EUR 370bn (2.5% GDP) in

Global Equity Market Arithmetic

Equities bounced back strongly last week, with the MSCI World gaining 4.0% to leave it just 1% away from its all-time high. The S&P 500 has now recouped the losses that started initially on 11

Riksbank — 25bp Cut and Dovish Guidance; We Now See 3 More Cuts in 2024

BOTTOM LINE: The Riksbank’s Executive Board cut the policy rate by 25bp to 3.5%today, in line with our and consensus expectations. The Executive Board signalled