海外研报

Employment revisions – Smaller objects in rearview mirror

◼ Job growth was not as strong as previously thought between April 2023 and March 2024, but the preliminary benchmark revisions don't alter the contours of our near-term forecast for the labor

Japan: macro fair value of the Nikkei index

The Nikkei Index can be estimated using nominal GDP (JPY trn), net domestic fund demand (corporate savings rate + fiscal balance, % GDP,

Korea: BOK signals conditions for easing

The Bank of Korea kept its base rate unchanged at 3.50% on 22 August as widely expected. We saw the BOK’s stance as somewhat dovish as the central bank

Europe Non Research Other 22 August 2024

Prelty laughable price action around the BLS release yesterday but ultimately, as the Fed minutes reiterated, the labour market isfront and cenitre in thinking now inflation has been conquered (.!) and the most negaltive revision

Credit Calls Thursday, August 22,2024

FeatureHG&HYRetail Earnings HalfTimeReport: Mixed consumer keeps retailerscautious (Carla Casella, CEA)It is time for the halftime report, but we feel we have a lot more color from the firsthalfthan the second, This is a good time to refresh

GS EUROPEAN EXPRESS: Chemicals

Chemicals – unseen trade tensions – Many investors we speak to are consideringthe implications of the US election and the potential for broad-based tariffs on US

Global Rates Notes: NOK Curve to Steepen vs SEK

n In recent months, the SEK curve has steepened vs G10 peers, and in particularvs NOK. This 2s10s steepening has occurred despite Swedish 10y rates falling vs

Ferrous Tracker: 1% of Steel Mills Profitable; Recovery Rally Unsustainable

The 62%Fe iron ore index stood at $97/t today (22nd August), marking a 6%recovery from the 21-month low of $92/t reached last Friday.

Europe: August Flash PMIs — Persistent Strength in the UK, Olympics Boost in the Euro Area

BOTTOM LINE: The Euro area composite flash PMI increased by 1.1pt to 51.2, aboveour expectations and consensus. The acceleration in the composite index was driven

Volatility fire sale over with commodities wellpositioned for Fed rate cuts next month

Global commodities: Navigating commodities in micro and macro cross-currents juxtaposed against thin summer liquidity has been the key theme over recent weeks.