海外研报

Low-income core consumer pressures 2Q comp, see continued risks; Underperform

F2Q adj. EPS $1.70 & comps +0.5% below estsDollar General’s (DG) 2Q adj. EPS of $1.70 was below our $1.84 est. and the Street at

Active managers’ holdings update What are your neighbors doing?

2Q trades: LOs bought Comm. Svcs., sold cyclicalsOver the last quarter, long-only funds (LOs) increased their relative weight in

US equities: Options to own for next week’s macro data dump

Glut of data: The Sep 6th straddle for SPY is worth ~1.5%, capturing theManufacturing ISM, Services ISM, NFP, JOLTS and Fed Beige Book prints. This

Sunday Tea with BNPP: Bracing for impact

We are cognisant of the risks of higher yields and flatter curves temporarily if US data is stronger this week (as we expect it to be).

Australia: CoreLogic House Prices: +0.5% increase in August

Bottom line: Australian capital-city dwelling prices increased +0.5%mom(+7.1%yoy) in August, with ongoing firm growth across Perth (+2.0%mom) and

All eyes turn to the jobs report

The August employment report will be in focus, which we see as the key remaining report ahead of the September FOMC. Also on deck are JOLTS

JULY INCOME DATA UNDERSCORE FED'S DILEMMA -- MARKET OVERPLAYING PACE OF CUTS

Somehow or another, despite 800,000 fewer on the payrolls than originally reported, the economy starts Q2 on adecided upbeat. The July personal income data do, however, point up a more important issue for the Fed to balance

What happened to the term premium?

The term premium is one of the most important parameters for investment andfunding decisions, but nobody knows its size. Our revised approach reduces

UK Weekly Kickstart Summer data-only update

Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures,

we prefer Europe and the UK despite Japan structurally getting better

For EAFE or US international portfolios, Japan versus Europe is the most important regional decision. We downgrade Japan to underweight in local-currency terms