海外研报

Asia Cross Asset Focus – Monthly APAC ex-Japan to follow the Fed, hesitantly

Focus of the month – APAC’s monetary policy outlook and market implicationsNow that the Fed is dovish and the dollar is weaker, there are no more external hurdles stopping

Intraday FX View

What is going on? The first important data print ahead of Friday’s non-farm payrolls came weak with US ISM Manufacturing coming below expectations of 47.5 at 47.2 helping to spur a big equity selloff and EUR USD couldn’t even break

If this is September, wait for November Global Daily

It’s September. It’s time for the first Fed rate cut in years. This was supposed to see thepopping champagne corks. Yet, it’s not starting very well.

Hong Kong: PMI roughly unchanged in August

The S&P Global Hong Kong PMI (which covers the manufacturing, construction,wholesale, retail and services sectors) edged down to 49.4 in August from 49.5 in

Hidden messages of Jackson Hole 2024: how could the Fed enhance its labour market assessment?

On this second topic discussed at Jackson Hole, two major economists offered both mild critiques of the Fed’s 2021-22 labour market

FX Model Trend & Strategy

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk

A severe case of COVIDIA: prognosis for an AI-driven US equity market

NVIDIA and its GPU customers are now a large driver of equity market returns, earnings growth, earnings revisions, industrial production and capital spending. NVIDIA’s financial results are extraordinary (it beat on

Europe Technology: Hardware: Key investor questions for European Digital Enablers at the

Ahead of the GS Communacopia + Technology Conference in San Francisco(September 9-11), we summarise key investor questions for our coverage, spanning

Obesity/Diabetes thoughts into EASD and through the end of 2024

For Roche, we see negative risk/ reward into the EASD presentations with nthe stock already reflecting a largely best case scenario given the stage of

Q1 2024 ETP flows round up

At the global level, equity ETPs led the way in Q1 ($255B), alongside inflows into fixed income ($80B) and continued selling of commodities (-$6.7B). This compares with the $274B added to equities, $95.6B into