海外研报

China: Not Quite the QE You Expect

The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has been trying to cap a record-breaking rally in the bond market. Unfavourable rate differentials add to yuan

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Despite a less benign start of the year, confidence on the disinflation theme has been restored after the last few prints came in soft. For today, consensus is for a 0.1%MoM increase in headline and a 0.2%MoM increase

2Q Preview: Screening for Dislocations (SLB), Momentum (AR, CCJ), and Catalysts (WFRD)

Heading into 2Q24 and 2H24, we remain focused on stocking picking versusthematic exposures similar to so far this year, and see three key buckets of

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was

Sticky inflation is coming unglued

The June CPI report was very benign. The headline figure fell 0.06% (expected up0.1%) and the core figure was up only 0.06% (expected up 0.2%). Within the corecomponent,the long-awaited slowing in both tenants’and owners’ equivalentrental inflation took

What will the pound do, this summer?

On a quiet day for markets, the RBNZ announced a ‘dovish hold’ with rates staying at 5.5% while the central bank’s guidance implied that it is only a matter of time before they are cut. Read

Top 25 Tactical Trades for Earnings Season

We believe 2024 will be remembered as the “Year of the Stock Picker”. Indexoptions and daily SPX volatility have been dampened by systematic volatility

Investigating scope for Generative AI to drive upside for

Following the excitement around ChatGPT's launch and the proliferation of competitor Large Language Model (LLM)solutions, the commencement of what is likely to be large spend on infrastructure buildout (with tech giants and beyond

Tracking Trucker Employment; TL Drivers Exit But More May Be Needed

Long haul trucking lost 1,200 drivers in May, below their pre-COVID seasonalsequential increase of ~2,600 drivers (we note that long haul data lags total

USA | Equity Strategy

We updated our Manager Holdings for Long Only investors, and it hadimplications for a number of Hedge Fund portfolios. We updated Uber Crowded,