海外研报

Market Comments

Neither was the IMF, who in ‘The World Economy is in a Sticky Spot’ warned upside risks to inflation had increased due to sticky services inflation, raising the prospect of even higher-forlonger rates. Yet their warning

Restructuring begins to bear fruit

T . JD.com currently has a c.18% market share in terms ofGMV. JD’s self-developed fulfilment and logistics infrastructure (1,300 warehouses with GFA of 23m

Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle

Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.

Attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump

On Saturday evening, former President Donald Trump was wounded in anassassination attempt during a campaign rally. A bystander was killed, andtwo others were critically wounded. The assailant was shot dead by securityservices.

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

USA: Powell Notes Added Confidence from Second Quarter Inflation Progress

BOTTOM LINE: During an interview at the Economic Club of Washington D.C., FedChair Jerome Powell did not comment on the specific timing of the first rate cut but

The return of the rest?

In Friday’s CoTD (link here) we showed that before the 2000 bubble burst, the three “dullest” S&P 500 sectors (Consumer Staples, Healthcare and Utilities) had

Doubtful on growth, hopeful on the market

Investors turn more doubtful on the global growth outlookA net 27% of investors expect softening global growth over the coming 12 months, the

FSA Fixed Income Daily Commentary

US Treasury: US Treasuries rallied last Friday, despite higherthan-expected US wholesale inflation. The yield on the policydriven 2yr notes fell 6.3bps to 4.452%, its lowest level since

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and