海外研报

USD: feeling green

The USD outlook has taken a turn for the worse of late on the back of: (1) growing market expectation that the Fed easing cycle could start as

BIDEN RESIGNS AND HARRIS FEELS THE HEAT (OF HISTORY)

President Biden’s departure from the presidential race did not coronate his VP, Kamala Harris, as successorcandidate for president. If he had instead resigned from office, he would have cemented her candidacy and given

US Semiconductors

CITI'S TAKEWe spent the last week meeting investors in New York/Connecticut. Interms ofinvestor sentiment -while NVDA remains the stock with the mostpositive sentiment, we believe AVGO is catchingup to NVDA. Investors werealso positive on NXPl and

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index dropped 0.6% today. China and Hong Kong marketsoutperformed, while Taiwan and Korea markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 21 – 26 July

Full focus on US 2Q GDP and PCEWe expect the advance estimate of 2Q GDP to come in at 2.3% qoq saar on the back of

LatAm At A Glance Summer breeze

Supportive external environmentThe global backdrop remains favorable for LatAm local markets. US inflation prints over the past two months have come in well below expectations. At the same time growth

GS Economic Indicators Update: Japan Sequential Trimmed Core Inflation Accelerates to 2.1% in June

Please find an update of our proprietary global economic indicators below. The databehind these exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found onour living page here.

Further S&P 500 downside could trigger accelerated unwinds from CTAs

CTAs could be unwinding S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100 longsOur CTA model showed trend follower longs in the NASDAQ-100 and S&P 500 at

Equity Strategy

Q2 reporting season is heating up, Activity was broadly better for the quarter,sequentially, pointing to an improvement in earnings delivery - top chart. This,though, is to a good extent reflected in consensus estimates, where Q2 EPSprojections

The Pulse of the Market Thoughts on Sentiment, Earnings, Rotation, and the US Election

In a NutshellThe big things you need to know: First, investor sentiment has gotten as extreme as it did last August and this past March.