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Europe Trembles At the Trump Tremor

The rising odds of a Trump victoryin November are weighing on theperformance of European equities.Investors fear a resumption of thetrade wars that dominated the frstTrump presidency.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST has recently revisited March low of 4.40% which remains an interim support. A brief rebound is taking shape, but it would be

RATES & FOREX RESEARCH FOR CORPORATES

US 2Q GDP on Thursday, June PCE inflation on Friday. Euro and UK preliminary PMIs on Wednesday, Canada second rate cut in the balance. Hungary CB SG f/c no change, consensus -25bp. Turkey CBRT f/c on hold.

Euro Area—Measuring Underlying Inflation (Vashkinskaya/Stott)

Underlying inflation in the Euro area remains in focus as one of the three criteriaused by the ECB’s Governing Council to set monetary policy. To analyse the

2Q24 First Take: Beat supported by overlifts and gas marketing

Equinor reported 2Q24 results this morning (July 24), with group operating incomeat US$7,483 mn, +8% above company-complied consensus of US$6,959mn, and

Beyond the Ballot: Existing in the Context…

President Biden’s decision not to seek reelection and the coalescing around Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee have upended the US election campaign.

SOFR trimming 

The Fed has announced plans to make some technical tweaksto the SOFR calculation. The resulting rate is little different,

Benign credit, rate cuts: Who benefits in equity space?

Credit markets are in good health despite some distressed HYsituations, which continues to backstop equities. Amid a

Americas Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

Options Opportunities in the Momentum and Growth Sell-off

Along with modest weakness in the US equity market over the past week, theMomentum factor saw a reversal in trend (-1.8% vs. +15.0% YTD) and Growth