海外研报

Global Macro Insight

We think the economics of elevated wage growth and sticky service sectorinflation do not warrant a rate cut at the 1 August meeting, despite the

SOFR methodology tweak: minimal impact

SOFR changes: no affiliate trades, limit specials impactLast week the NY Fed proposed two very technical changes to the SOFR calculation

New Home Sales Below Expectations; Upgrade Q2 GDP Tracking Estimate to 2.6%

The goods trade deficit narrowed in June, led by an increase in exports. Wholesaleinventories increased somewhat less than expected. The S&P Global manufacturing

Consolidation without expenditure compromise

Faced with a trade-off between fiscal consolidation and expectations demand

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index dropped 0.4% today. Philippines and Singapore marketsoutperformed, while Hong Kong and Korea markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities were mixed amid a somewhat choppy session (SXXP 0.1%,SX5E 0.4%, Adv 43% of SXXP). DAX (0.8%) and UKX (-0.4%) were the top and worst regions. Tech(1.4%) and Positive Al Sentiment (1.6%%) took

apan: rise in Nikkei due more to power of reflation than economic quality improvement

The ESG Macro Index, which represents the quality of the Japanese economy, improved to 0.81 in Q124 from 0.66 in Q423. The deteriorating

On Our Minds A pragmatic budget, but could have been bolder

The new government’s first full budget was pragmatic, but it could have been bolder. When one looks at it as a pure accounting exercise, which it actually is, the budget neither

key debates likely to be on trajectory of auto business and FSD/robotaxis

Tesla reported revenue/non-GAAP diluted EPS (excluding SBC) of$25.5 bn/$0.52, which was 4% above/$0.09 below the Street

India budget: closer to the medium-term fiscal target

The Indian government chose a middle path by distributing its non-tax revenue bonanza into revenue spending and fiscal deficit reduction. The