海外研报

New Candidate, Same Implications

To project the impact of elections on the markets, we typically frame scenarios. But we could never have dreamed up the truly wild month we just went

A bumpy road into the unknown, an elegy

The unprecedented developments surrounding the US general elections have dominated the headlines as the outcome will largely define the US economic, fiscal and

A few keypieces from GS Sales, Trading, Strategy and Research. Full piece links below or attached.

Waiting to re-engage in USDJPY longs (Mike Cahill) - While we think USD/JPY can probably continue to move back to the 150 level and would

BoJ seen forgoing July rate hike to ensure trouble-free start to QT

We expect the BoJ will leave its guidance target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate on hold at “around 0% to 0.1%” at the July 30-31 Policy Board meeting,

FOMC preview

The June FOMC meeting statement described activity as expanding at a “solidpace," job gains “'strong," and unemployment “low." We don't see any of thatchanging. Since the June meeting the unemployment rate has risen another tick to4.1%, in line

FX Model Trend & Strategy

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the

Still See a Soft Landing

We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought

Next week...this week

The week ahead is centered around key central bank decisions from the Fed, theBoJ and the BoE.All eyes will be on the Fed on Wednesday given the recent inflation progress in theUS.OurUS economists expect the central

Can Tesla execute on its "Autonomy" story?

LLeeaaddiinngg EEVV mmaannuuffaaccttuurreerr bbaacckkeedd bbyy eeccoonnoommiicc MMOOAATTss.. Tesla is a leading global EV manufacturer, backed by its firm market leadership

Japan Weekly Kickstart Going with the flows

Summary of the weekTOPIX: 2,699.54 (-5.6%) / NK225: 37,667.41 (-6.0%)n Top sectors: Pharmaceuticals, Land Transport