海外研报

The US consumer today vs. tomorrow through the lens of micro company and macroeconomic datapoints

The July jobs report showed a larger-than-expected deterioration in the US labor market. Investor concerns over the health of the US consumer have

Barclays Equity Factor Monitor

Updated monthly holdings and performance stats for ourequity factor baskets across the US & Europe are presented

What Are Surprising Macro And Micro Takeaways From Earnings Thus Far?

This week in the Pulse, we ask our senior analyst team to reflect on macro themesthat have surprised us during earnings. Additionally, we ask the team to discuss an

1QFY25 earnings improved this week with beats ahead of misses

Performance: NIFTY closed flat w/w. Energy, Pharmaled (up 1-3%), while Property, IT lagged (down 3-4%).

Rate Cuts and Recession Risk After the July Employment Report

The July employment report was weak across the board, with soft gains in bothpayroll and household employment and another 0.2pp increase in the

CP monitor: higher financials supply

Supply: notable pickup in foreign financials CP outstanding has increased $35bn since the end of June, bringing the total to $1.27tn.

The Fed Dot Plod

Suddenly everyone is raising the number of Fed cuts this year and early next year. Without a doubt Friday’s job report was Weak with Few Redeeming Qualities. While we argued that the Fed SHOULD

2Q24 EPS Miss on Margins; Initial 3Q Trendlines Somewhat Muted vs Expectations

Bottom Line: ARCB 2Q24 adjusted EPS of $1.98 was belowGSe/Visible Alpha Consensus estimates of $2.20/$2.08. Results

Refunding recap: bill shift => coupon delay

UST coupon sizes stable, bills to rise in futureTreasury kept nominal coupon sizes stable & modestly increased TIPS sizes at the August refunding, as expected (see UST refunding preview). Three aspects of the

Global Economics Weekly Ready, set... slow

The global economy is showing signs of slowing, withmanufacturing weakening and the US labour market cooling.