海外研报

PANIC STATIONS!

1. Global recession risk, with CBs (perceived to be) behind the curve2. The unwind of the Yen carry trade (did BoJ hawkishness mark the top of

MARKETS CAN TAKE WEEKS TO REBOUND FROM A VOLATILITY SPIKE

Friday’s weak NFP print put recession risks front and centre. However, one disappointing payrolls release is notenough to declare one: (1) 114k new jobs are consistent with economic expansion; (2) cyclical sectors are still

GS Utilities Daily: ENWL sale has positive read across to SSE

Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result,investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this

US July jobs report: Broad-based weakening risks steeper cuts

• A sizable deceleration in payrolls and the fourth consecutive increase in the unemployment rate (which triggered the Sahm Rule) point

Did the market overshoot?

• The underlying data in Friday’s employment report was

Market Intelligence: US Morning Update

Stocks in Asia traded sharply lower Monday as concerns about a soft landing in theUS after weaker than expected US payrolls from Friday (see Aug 2 note “USA:

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:AFTERNOON BRIEFING

US: Stocks closed sharply lower but off their lowest levels. Pre-market, the global selloff startedwith Japan as the NKY fell by 12.4%. The SPX hit a session low of -4.6%, with the ViX spiking to65, up 178% from Friday's close of 23. This was driven by a

Healthcare Pulse: Oh August... Investor sentiment

Considerations for the XLV @ 10k Feet. Macronarratives got turned on their head yet again with the

Obvious trend damage but breadth improves

• Background macro factors like disposable personal income growth

Global Economics Wrap-Up: August 2, 2024

Former US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs are likely to accelerateshifts in the allocation of global trade:o We use product-level variation in tariff rates and trade patterns to estimate