海外研报

THE EUROZONE ECONOMIC MONITOR

German manufacturing output rebounded modestly in June, but likely fell back in July.

Global/European Equity Strategy Market Correction: What’s Next?

CITI'S TAKE Furious rotations have given way to a broad-based stock market correction. The markets now seem to believe that high rates and strong growth cannot

Slightly Lowering Our 2024Q2 GDP Final Tracking Estimate to +2.1% QoQ Annualized

We revise down our Q2 (April-June) 2024 real GDP final tracking estimate slightlyto +2.1% qoq annualized, from our previous forecast of +2.4%. Downward

Industrial Production Declined Further in June

Bottom Line: Industrial production contracted 20.2% yoy in June weaker than the15.0% decline in May. On a sequential basis, industrial production declined 1.5%

June deficit contracts in line with moves from advance goods report

The overall trade deficit narrowed $1.9bn in June, to $73.1bn, reflecting export growththat outpaced import growth. The deficit narrowed less than we expected (Barclays -$72.1bn,

Global Tech: Re-calibrating AI server timeframe; updating Global server model and

We recalibrate our AI servers timeframe estimates, moving 2024E shipment to2025E, reflecting the uncertainties in Nvidia’s next-generation products (report link),

USD: a ‘flatter’ smile is still a smile

Asia overnightInvestor sentiment continues to improve as equity markets recover from their recent drubbing. BoJ Deputy Governor, Shinichi Uchida, helped reassure markets

Preview: RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement

Cooler heads• We expect the RBNZ to leave the OCR at 5.50% next week, andto signal a potential cut in the OCR later this year, with the Record

FADE THE RECESSION NARRATIVE

The market has been hypersensitive to negative economic surprises because of the extent to which GDP growth and earnings expectations have been ratcheted up over the course of this

GS UK Today: Glencore H1 Results | ITM Power | UK Retail | US Macro

Earnings First Take: Glencore Glencore - 1H first take - Revenue came in much higher primarily due to higher