海外研报

US Economic Weekly Now it’s up to the data

Weekly viewpoint: Now it’s up to the dataFinancial markets have momentarily stabilized after concerns about hard-landing risks

What we learned at our 2024 SMID Cap Conference

Top takeaways from our virtual SMID conference (8/6-8/7)This week we hosted management of 11 SMID cap corporates for fireside video chats

It's positioning, stupid!

US jobless claims were down by 17,000 to 233,000 in the week that ended 3 August. The drop was

Americas Construction: Building Products: AHRI — June Read-Throughs

Residential Water Heater Shipments Down 1% in June: This compares to a 2%decline in May and +12% a year ago. Commercial fell 4% YOY vs up 16% last month

Global FX Trader Too Much Shade on the Carry Trade

n JPY: Carry not so scary. Since the sharp sell-off in USD/JPY that started onFriday and accelerated through Monday alongside broader market volatility, the

TAIEX -1% despite a 3% rebound in TSMC, amid declines across non-defensive

Performance: MSCI/All Taiwan +0.6%/-0.9% this week,outperforming MXAPJ by +1.5% (in US$), with gains in

Ferrous Tracker: Drop in Steel Output Hits Iron Ore Consumption

The Platts 62%Fe iron ore index (CFR China) returned to $99.3/t yesterday (8thAugust), down 4% from last Friday.

European Banks How Far Can Banks Fall?

CITI'S TAKE SX7P is -10% in just three days, following weak US economic data and increasing fears of a global hard landing, but does appear to have found a

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING AUGUST 8,2024

and VIX @ 28.43.US: Futs are off small with NDX unchanged, JPM FX Strategists see the carry unwind -75%complete, Pre-mkt, Mag7 and Semis are providing support, Bond yields are down 2-

2Q24 Earnings Update: Return of the Macro

2Q24 earnings has been mostly good news but not enough toshrug off deteriorating macro; breadth of EPS beats and Y/Y