海外研报

Gaze Into the Data Long Enough...

Friday saw equities continue their recovery from steep selloffs early last week and the preceding Friday. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ both rose by around half a percentage point and the

Oil Tracker: Positioning: Only Up From Here

The Brent crude price rebounded by 6% from a week ago as broader macro marketscontinued to recover, as solid US activity data shifted energy investors’ focus from

The Yen Carry Trade—A Roadblock to BoJ Hikes, Not Fed Cuts (Fishman/Kanter)

The recent sharp appreciation of the Yen coinciding with a spike in cross-assetvolatility has heightened the focus on the “Yen carry trade” and the broader

Don’t throw away a nest egg!

As this week made clear once more, it is always important to keep a nest egg for a rainy day.Being able to whether storms is crucial when one is invested in risky assets so one is not forced to

Consumer Checkpoint Facing hurdles or the high jump?

• Bank of America aggregated credit and debit card spending per household fell 0.4% year-over-year (YoY) in July, compared to a

UBS House View Monthly Extended August 2024 - intra-month update

The original report, published on 18 July 2024, is being republished to remove our Asset Class downside scenarios, as

What next after a volatile week for markets?

The period of relative calm for markets came to a screeching halt overthe last week or so. But while recent market moves have been dramatic,

On Our Minds RBI: Growth optimism behind hawkish stance

The RBI kept the policy rate (at 6.5%) and the policy stance (withdrawal of accommodation) unchanged during its monetary policy meeting in August

On Our Minds-Consumers help lift 2024 growth estimate, but 2025 outlook has weakened

Recent industrial production and retail sales data point to strong consumptionfueled growth in 2Q24, with a carryover effect leading us to upgrade our 3Q24

Implied Thoughts Four key takeaways from the latest sell-off

The short-term rates market is still fully pricing in a recession (and risks position unwinds if data doesn’t comply).