海外研报
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Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts
Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,
海外研报
2024年08月22日
July FOMC minutes highlightedlabor market risks
The minutes to the July 30-31 FOMC meeting (which occurred just before therelease ofthe weak Julylaborreport)skewed dovish and showeda committee morefocused on labor market risks than the possibility of a renewed jump in inflationeven if
海外研报
2024年08月22日
Global Macro Insight
Data releases over the past month have underscored our expectation that the FOMC will start to reduce policy restriction from September (-25bp).
海外研报
2024年08月22日
Indonesia: BI to Focus on IDR Strength in Q3, Sees Room to Cut in Q4
Bank Indonesia (BI) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.25%. The deposit and lendingfacility rates were also kept at 5.50% and 7.00%, respectively. Today’s decision was
海外研报
2024年08月22日
Global Rates ldeas
Reiterate UST 5Y-2Y flattenerPage 3A rapid repricing of Fed easing expectations has resulted in substantial steepeningbeing priced into the Treasury curve; we think this presents a near-term opportunityto further harvest carry and reiterate our tactical
海外研报
2024年08月22日
The VIEW Asia's Bond Markets
This month's Overview is a primer on Panda bonds, RMB-denominated bonds issued byoffshore entities in China's domestic market. Gross issuance rose 82% in 2023 to a recordRMB154bn, and 2024 is on course to be another big year, We explore
海外研报
2024年08月22日
Positioning across emerging markets following the recent market volatility
Macro focus: The deterioration in market sentiment over the past few weeks caused an aggressive sell-off in risk assets following a recalibration of growth
海外研报
2024年08月22日
FOMC – Very dovish minutes open door to 50bps cuts
ImplicationsThe minutes suggest that Powell will take a very dovish tone at the Jackson Hole meeting. There are many dovish references to “almost all” or the “vast majority” of participants. If
海外研报
2024年08月22日
Global FX Strategy What if RFK Jr. joins Trump’s campaign?
CITI’S TAKE Nicole Shanahan – RFK Jr.’s running mate – suggested today that their campaign could join Donald Trump as one of two options (the other is
海外研报
2024年08月22日
The Global Point Wednesday, 21 August 2024
Geopolitical and economic risks are back in focus. We update our proprietary Geoeconomic Risk Premium model, which measures how much of a “geo-economic”
海外研报
2024年08月22日
