海外研报
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US Daily: Renewed Progress on Recession Risk (Hatzius)
After the July jobs report released on August 2 triggered the “Sahm rule,” weraised our 12-month US recession probability from 15% to 25%. Now, we have
海外研报
2024年08月19日
The Consumer in Context
Our view has been that consumer spending would slow but not slump; so far that path has played out. Employment, wealth, and
海外研报
2024年08月19日
Global Macro Commentary | North America August 16 Morgan Stanley & Co.
Strong US data caps UST rally; solid UK retail sales sends gilts higher; RBNZ's Silk says contraction may be needed to lower
海外研报
2024年08月19日
TOPIX rises 7.9% wow, continuing its recovery from the recent steep fall
Summary of the weekTOPIX: 2,678.60 (7.9%) / NK225: 38,062.67 (8.7%)
海外研报
2024年08月19日
US Economics Weekly in the datavei
CITI'S TAKEStronger-than-expected retail sales and the drop in initial jobless claimsraised market optimism that a "soft landing" might still be achieved, but thecontinued contraction in manufacturing, falling
海外研报
2024年08月19日
Global Market Views: Summer Turbulence En Route to a Soft Landing
1. Keep fading the extremes. For most of the past 12 months, market concernshave oscillated between inflation and growth. We came into the year on the back of
海外研报
2024年08月18日
The Maestros in Jackson Hole
Jackson Hole: “Effectiveness & Transmission of Monetary Policy.” Sep cut signal, size TBD. Rates: buy dip even if marginally hawkish. FX: limited impact.EUR.
海外研报
2024年08月18日
