海外研报

Weekly commentary

Leaning into income in fixed income• Total income has returned to credit thanks to higher-for-longer interest rates.We prefer pockets of credit where investors are better compensated for risk.

Emerging Markets mid-year 2024 outlook

Macro focus: At the start of this year, we had expected building drags from aslowing China and the 2021-23 global hiking cycle to pull down the EM complex.Yet, EMs defied expectations in H1 2024, buoyed by the resiliency in the consumer.

2H keeps winning after a positive 1H

SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months