海外研报

Barclays_This is it (or maybe not)_20240906

The oil sell-off has accelerated recently, growing the disconnectwith spot fundamentals. Indeed, speculative positioning hit a

BNP Paribas Global Macro CTA Tracker

Our Global Macro CTA Tracker aims to provide an insight into the average CTAtrend-following strategy, by simulating a cross-asset portfolio strategy that

BofA The Flow Show - Fifty Trades of Decay

4.4%, cash 3.7%, govt bonds 1.4%, commodities -0.1%, US dollar -0.3%, oil -3.4% YTD.The Biggest Picture: the “rich” e.g. Ferrari at all-time high vs the “poor” e.g. Dollar

DB--Checks indicate AI monetization

Adobe heads into F3Q earnings on Thursday, September 12th with sentiment more positive on the name relative to last quarter. Accordingly, expectations are also

BD--ECB Preview: If it ain’t broke

On 12 September we expect the ECB to cut rates 25bp to 3.50%. This confirms that June was not a one-off insurance cut and the ECB is in the

DB--Expecting a Seasonally Calm F1Q with Gusts of OCI

Consistent with typical seasonality, F1Q looks to have been a relatively quiet quarter and the focus going into results next Monday will again be on the pace of new OCI

DB--Owning Better than Renting, a Logical Adjacency

Salesforce announced a deal to acquire the Own Company, a provider of data protection and data management solutions for $1.9bn in cash, net of Salesforce's

GS--EM Weekly Fund Flows Monitor

Foreign (FII) flows / positioningn EM Asian ex-China region saw strong selling (-US$4bn)

GS--MSCI EM fell 2% wow; Global cyclicals lagged

Performance: MSCI EM index fell 2% w/w (along withother regions down 2-4%). Tech-heavy global cyclicals

MM--FX Daily Snapshot Europe Weekly Focus

The macro backdrop makes it a simple enough decision for the ECB to go ahead with another rate cut at next week’s meeting. Policymakers are likely