海外研报

Learnings from Q2 earnings

Decent Q2 earnings. The Q2 reporting season saw EPS growth improving sequentially in bothEurope and US to 3% and 10%, respectively, well above consensus estimates. Both of these

Boeing Co. (BA): Monthly aircraft delivery tracker: August mid-point check-in

Our aircraft delivery tracker, based on Planespotters data, shows Boeing hasdelivered 24 aircraft thus far in August through 8/21, including 16 737 MAX, 2 777, 3

Global Earnings Revision Ratio Earnings rebound

Global Earnings Revision Ratio resumes uptrendThe “hint of softness” in earnings expectations on which we reported in July was short

Steel prices are down, but the consumer pays a green premium

Steel prices have fallen, but green steel at a premiumSteel prices have been under pressure in Europe and the US. Yet a decline of EU

The Global Point Wednesday, 21 August 2024

Geopolitical and economic risks are back in focus. We update our proprietary Geoeconomic Risk Premium model, which measures how much of a “geo-economic”

Global FX Strategy What if RFK Jr. joins Trump’s campaign?

CITI’S TAKE Nicole Shanahan – RFK Jr.’s running mate – suggested today that their campaign could join Donald Trump as one of two options (the other is

FOMC – Very dovish minutes open door to 50bps cuts

ImplicationsThe minutes suggest that Powell will take a very dovish tone at the Jackson Hole meeting. There are many dovish references to “almost all” or the “vast majority” of participants. If

Positioning across emerging markets following the recent market volatility

Macro focus: The deterioration in market sentiment over the past few weeks caused an aggressive sell-off in risk assets following a recalibration of growth

Global Rates ldeas

Reiterate UST 5Y-2Y flattenerPage 3A rapid repricing of Fed easing expectations has resulted in substantial steepeningbeing priced into the Treasury curve; we think this presents a near-term opportunityto further harvest carry and reiterate our tactical

Indonesia: BI to Focus on IDR Strength in Q3, Sees Room to Cut in Q4

Bank Indonesia (BI) kept its policy rate unchanged at 6.25%. The deposit and lendingfacility rates were also kept at 5.50% and 7.00%, respectively. Today’s decision was