海外研报

Europe Morning Call: Jul 22, 2024

Click “here” for the GS EUROPEAN EXPRESS: Morning Update and a writtensummary of the Europe Morning Call.

Equity Strategy

Q2 reporting season is heating up, Activity was broadly better for the quarter,sequentially, pointing to an improvement in earnings delivery - top chart. This,though, is to a good extent reflected in consensus estimates, where Q2 EPSprojections

US Equities: Selling Triggers

Selling triggers: We highlighted the risk that a downtrend could accelerate selling flows in our earnings hedging piece. That is exactly

Emerging Insight Central Asia – FX “anomalies” untangled

Key takeaways• KZT to remain range-bound and managed through net NOF FX sales. NOF support has room to increase in 2H24 after new FX flow

Global Earnings Revision Ratio Hint of softness

Global Earnings Revision Ratio moderated in JulyIn a hint of softness in earnings expectations, the Global Earnings Revision Ratio

New Candidate, Same Implications

To project the impact of elections on the markets, we typically frame scenarios. But we could never have dreamed up the truly wild month we just went

Navigating a Noisy Election

Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &

BoJ seen forgoing July rate hike to ensure trouble-free start to QT

We expect the BoJ will leave its guidance target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate on hold at “around 0% to 0.1%” at the July 30-31 Policy Board meeting,

Regional Industry Focus ASEAN Healthcare

Thailand's fast and furious medical tourism vs. mature growth in Singapore. Singapore and Thailand have become

Is this what data-point dependence looks like?

The poor NFP report and 0.2ppt uptick in unemployment rate brought 10Y UST yields to December 2023 lows (3.8%) and ESTR 1YF1Y to 2.08%. Growth factor