海外研报

US small cap rotation triggered by macro, boosted by positioning

Russell 2000 has recently recorded the largest two-weekrally against Nasdaq 100 since 2002 (Exhibit 1). The rotation

June JSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds

CLEAR SIGNS OF BEARISHNESS ON SUPER-LONG JGBSJSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds data for June were indicative of most

Today's Morning Meeting

quity Strategy(Mislav Matejka,CFA)Q2 Preview: Consensus call for the EPS narrowing between the Mag-7 and rest might still be lackingQ2 reporting season is heating up. Activity was broadly better for the quarter, sequentially, pointing to

Europe Mon Research Other

The ECB delivered an uneventful meeting with the message of 'data dependenoe' front and canter, although a later headline of'ECB oficlals consider if only one more cut ls feasible in 2024 was a litle confusing. Biden finaly announced he was

TOP OF THE AGENDA

SPX +1.1%, NDX +1.5%,RTY +1.7%.WTl-31bps at $78.40, NatGas +578bps to $2.25, UKNatGas -155bps to£0.7797,Gold -18bps to $2,397,Silver -34bps to $29.13, 10Y @ 4.253%, andVIX @ 14.91.

Mexico: Firm Broad-Based May Sequential Real Activity Expansion (Ramos)

Bottom Line: Real activity recorded a 0.75% mom sa variation in May, firmer thanexpectations for a milder 0.55% mom sa increase and more than offsetting the April

US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate

Key TakeawaysChinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports ~75%

Weekly Warm-up: Does TheCycle Matter More Than TheElection Outcome?

Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016.2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on theoutcome of the election, While markets have been digesting the rising oddsof a Trump win, cyclical

Precious Analyst China’s Structurally Resilient Gold Demand

The gold price set a new all-time high of $2,483/toz on Wednesday (July 17) asexpected Fed cuts are poised to bring Western capital back into the gold market.

The Pulse of the Market Thoughts on Sentiment, Earnings, Rotation, and the US Election

In a NutshellThe big things you need to know: First, investor sentiment has gotten as extreme as it did last August and this past March.