海外研报

2024 Mid-Year Global Economic Outlook

H24 outcomes have aligned with our top-down views. Global growth hascooled to a still solid 2.4%ar and is less dependent on a US demand engineNotably, the Western Europe recovery

2024 Mid-year outlook

We expect Treasury yields to remain rangebound through the summer, with a declinefrom current levels expected later this year only once the Fed begins easingYields tend to

Employment Report Preview: Slower job growth

June payrolls slow to 210k because of softening demand for and supply of labor. We forecast no change in the unemployment rate at 4.0%; if weaker demand dominates, unemployment

Atradius 经济展望 软着陆

预计 2024 年全球增长率为 2.6% , 与 12 月经济展望相比上调 0.5% 。由于更强劲的需求前景和更高的移民 , 美国经济的韧性突出。 2025 年增长可能会略有改善 , 达到 2.8% , 随着通胀持续下降 , 购买力也会有所改善。

Economics Focus

On Sunday at 20:00 CET, we should have a broad idea of the make-up of the National Assembly. At around 22:00 CET, we will likely have a fairly clear view on the final make-up.

DMP: En Route to August

The june iteration of the Decision Maker Panel survey supports our call for anAugust cut. Wage expectations and perceived pricing power are softening, andrealised inflation took a decent step lower in

Into the Second Round

With the second-round French election on 7 July, we discuss key election-related developments in the days following first-round

Prime Insights & Analytics Prime Services Weekly Report July 5, 2024 Friday 6/28 – Thursday 7/4

The GS Equity Fundamental L/S Performance Estimate2 rose +0.35% between 6/28 and 7/4 (vs MSCI World TR +1.37%), driven by beta of +0.67%

FX View AUD/JPY is back in fashion

The two most-watched US economic surprise indices, published by Bloomberg and Citi, are showing a steady downward trend – i.e., a lot of negative surprises in the data. This clearly affects

China Gas Holdings Ltd

A major gas distributor with the largest exposure in rural areas. A China Gas is one of the major gasdistributors in China with a market share of around 7% in 2022 in terms of gas sales volume.