海外研报

Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Derivative Thinking

All attention this week will be on Jackson Hole, where the conference has been aptly titled “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy.” We

Ocean Rates Rise But What’s Driving? Impacts Possible for transports and Broader Supply Chain

Bottom line: Ocean rates have increased 3.5x and 4.5x per container on theeast coast and west coast, respectively, since the Red Sea disruption began in

Economics Focus

Overseas market to drive sales and margins

A . BYD, the global leader in the NEV industry,should continue to deliver decent volume sales growth of 20-25% y-o-y in FY24. The huge scaleallows BYD to remain a price setter, especially after it rolled out products at ASP of

China: O&A on the third plenum

WVhy is the third plenum getting so muchmnarKetatentlolThe Chinese economy is facing myriad headwinds. Some are cyclical, some are deep-seated structural problemswhich can only be addressed by structural reforms.

Monthly aircraft delivery tracker: June looking better sequentially

Our aircraft delivery tracker, based on Planespotters data, suggests Boeing istracking to 43 deliveries for June, including 34 737 MAX, 3 787s and 6 other. Of the34 MAX deliveries we estimate 26 were new production deliveries,

USD: Trump vs Powell vs Trump

Investor sentiment was given a boost by FOMC Chair, Jerome Powell, expressingcautious confidence that US inflation has resumed a downward path, which led tosome pullback in UST yields. Curbing investor sentiment in Asia, however,

10-year GBs above 1% is dampeningapanese demand for US Treasuries

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated.Apollo GlobaManagement, inc. (together with its subsidiaries, "Apollo") makes no representation or warranty, expressed olimplied, with respect to the accuracy,

Equity Strategy

SPW, an equal weighted S&P500 index, has stalled since March, and is behind SPX so far this year by more than 10%. We think this is reflecting a changing Growth-Policy narrative vs early 2024. Entering this year, investor expectations were for a