海外研报
筛选
Global Economics Weekly
Slowing US inflation now makes Fed cuts in both Septemberand December likely. Inflation dynamics are less clear in the UK
海外研报
2024年07月16日
Taking shelter from inflation
Weekly Viewpoint: Taking shelter from inflationA downside surprise to June CPI inflation, driven by softer shelter, should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is converging to target. That said, rate cuts are not just
海外研报
2024年07月16日
The Buffalo Is Back
While economic surprises have been negative lately, leading indicators and easing global central-bank policies point to the slow global expansion gaining traction in the second half of 2024 and 2025.
海外研报
2024年07月17日
Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It
Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming
海外研报
2024年07月17日
Attempted assassination of presidential candidate Donald Trump
On Saturday evening, former President Donald Trump was wounded in anassassination attempt during a campaign rally. A bystander was killed, andtwo others were critically wounded. The assailant was shot dead by securityservices.
海外研报
2024年07月17日
Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle
Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.
海外研报
2024年07月17日
Land of the rising equities and bond yields — a look at cross-asset moves in Japan
Last week a softer-than-expected CPI print pushed forwardrate cut expectations and prompted one of the largest
海外研报
2024年07月17日
Argentina: Impressive disinflation, with side-effects
Argentina: Impressive disinflation with side-effectsArgentina inflation is dropping much faster than expected, from 25% in December (13%
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Macro Credit Views: Trust in carry (Karoui)
Carry remains our baseline view. Valuation constraints continue to loom large inmost segments of credit markets, greatly limiting the scope for upside convexity
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Weekly sales down by 22% YoY; possible implications from the third plenum
Weekly home sales down by 22% YoYDuring the past week (July 6th to July 12th), primary home sales volume in 32 major cities saw 41% sequential drop (partially attributable to seasonality) and was also down
海外研报
2024年07月20日
