海外研报

What Determines Cross-Country Differences in r*? (Daly)

The neutral real rate (r*) – the equilibrium real policy rate that is neitherstimulatory nor contractionary, consistent with output at potential and stable

Supply and Cash Flow Monitors

Risk analysis may be conducted at the financial instruments level. Among the information normally used to define the risks, are (1) publications produced

Surprise MET Increase for Uranium in Kazakhstan

New MET Rates from 2025: The Government in Kazakhstan has introduced a new Mineral Extraction Tax (MET) for uranium, replacing the existing 6% flat rate MET

DB CoTD: It's patently obvious...

A reminder that we publish a weekly AI newsletter looking at all the rapidly evolving news flow in the field. This week’s edition is just out here and looks at how OpenAI

DB CoTD: The Kuiper Belt..

The 2024 Institutional Investor (II) Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was

Yen has room to rally further if CTAs are stopped out

Could CTAs provide the next push lower for USDJPY?In the moments after Thursday’s US CPI print was released, USDJPY declined more than 2% on suspected FX intervention from Japan’s Ministry of Finance. Heading into this

Forecast update: Softer macro data call for caution

Growth in the US has moderated further in recent weeks. After a 1.4% annualised rate in Q1, the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker indicates the economy expanded by an annualised 1.5%

Trump shooting, China Q2 GDP to sway market mood

Market HighlightsThe US dollar fell 1.7% this month, respecting seasonality pattern, which has been reinforced by more dovish market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets are now