海外研报

Monetary Policy Expectations Analysis

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All That Glitters

Gold prices traded at fresh all-time highs on Friday, closing well above the $2600/oz barrier. The rally in gold seems unstoppable at this point and resets on the all-time-high are becoming a

BofA - Gonzalo Asis - Trading Catalysts Uncertainty removed. What’s ahead for equities_20240922

Economics: First cut, now back to data-dependence The Fed cut rates by 50bp last week as it seeks to recalibrate policy to a more neutral

China_s_stimulus_package_ten_reactions

Today’s announcement confirms our view that the Fed cut has opened the door for monetary policy injection. The People’s Bank of China

GS--China: Soft money and credit data in August

August total social financing (TSF) flows, new RMB loans, and money supply growthremained soft, largely in line with market expectations. August money and credit

GS--Aligning our sector recommendations with the macro environment

We update our sector recommendations. We turned more“defensive” early in the summer, in response to the recent

2024Q2: Hardware Investment Grows, Barriers to Profitable Use Remain (Kodnani)

AI-related investment growth remains strong, particularly for semiconductorfirms, where equity markets expect revenue growth of around 50% from currentlevels by the end of 2025. Since the release of ChatGPT, equity markets have

The Long-term StrategistAre annuities a good retirement investment?

We diseussed last month how the move from defined-benefit to defined-contribution pension saving shifted market and longevity risk to workers,who have become quite coneerned they may outlive their savings.But not all is lost as workers can buy lifetime

Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love A binary call

Global Risk-Love resets to neutralGlobal Risk-Love, our contrarian sentiment indicator for equities, has plummeted from

Sunday Start | What's Next in Global Macro Derivative Thinking

All attention this week will be on Jackson Hole, where the conference has been aptly titled “Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy.” We