海外研报
筛选
"Wolf! Wolf! The wolf is chasing the sheep!"
Market pricing of end-2024 Fed Funds fell from 4.66% (67bp below the current level) before the July labour market data were released, to 3.85% just before the (stronger) ISM services data
海外研报
2024年08月29日
If the plan is to sell dollar rallies, it isn’t working.
Jay Powell’s focus on labour market data as the biggest driver of rate-hike timing leaves days like today (no jobs numbers, only consumer confidence, house prices and regional fed activity
海外研报
2024年08月29日
The end of the inflation spike
We expect Eurozone headline inflation to decline a bit more in August, to 2.2%. Our take for ex-tobacco is 7bp below what the market prices in.
海外研报
2024年08月29日
The unlikely champions of Europe
Financial markets are trading sideways ahead of Nvidia’s earnings release later today and the US PCE data release later in the week. Sentiment was weighed
海外研报
2024年08月29日
Tomorrow, back to only thinking "Rate cuts!"
Today, markets are only interested in one economy, one field, and earnings from one company,which may or may not be in a bubble. It makes a change from a focus on “Rate cuts!” I guess. But
海外研报
2024年08月29日
US Strategy: Trading Politics
In November, US voters will decide who controls the White House, Senate and House of Representatives. With the race a
海外研报
2024年08月29日
Options positioning ahead of NVDA earnings
The moves in macro assets on NVDA earnings demonstrates the importance ofthe AI theme and NVDA as the most important bellwether in the market. While
海外研报
2024年08月29日
FIGHT THE PBOC
Don’t fight the Fed” is a common market adage, but what about the PBoC? China’scentral bank and the CCP state apparatus are arguably a tougher matchup. However,
海外研报
2024年08月30日
VISIBILITY ON THE IRAN VS ISRAEL REPRISE: NO OIL SHOCK
It was never a matter of ‘if’ – rather only ‘when’ and ‘how’ – Iran and its “axis of resistance” would retaliate againstIsrael after last month's strikes. From an investment perspective, the key question remained whether this latest
海外研报
2024年08月30日
Five Stocks in Focus: HP, NESTE, PBF, CRK, and XOM
In this note, we highlight five stocks that are top of mind in investor conversations.(1) For HP (Sell), we discuss our updated US rig count forecasts, driving lower
海外研报
2024年08月30日
