海外研报

Hong Kong: Real GDP growth stronger than expected in Q2

Bottom line: The preliminary reading of 2024 Q2 Hong Kong GDP growth came in at+3.3% yoy, significantly above consensus expectations. In quarter-over-quarter

EURO CRISIS 2.0 – THE “CRISIS” AT THE CORE

There is talk of a new euro crisis, this time centred on core EMU countries like Germany and France. This fear is unwarranted. While low interest rates stimulated the EMU core during the

Weekly spending update through July 27

Key takeaways• Total card spending per HH was up 0.1% y/y in the week ending Jul 27, according to BAC aggregated credit & debit card data.

How effective is currency hedging usingforwards?

One of the many complexities in currency risk management arises from effectivelymanaging risk of a portfolio exposed to continuous currency exposure. This isimportant for both corporations and asset managers alike. For corporations, thisform

Powell has a labor market bee inhis bonnet

While the Fed left rates on hold today,both the FOMC statementand Powell's pressconference strongly hinted that the first cut is likely coming at the next meeting inSeptember, The statement shifted the Fed's worries from tilted toward

Earnings Bars (AAPL, AMZN, DASH, INTC, MCHP, NET, SNAP), ARM, LRCX, META, QCOM

Sentiment: Still one of our more crowded shorts, but it’s seen substantial covering by equity L/S funds. In the wake of TXN (where embedded was weaker) and STM (MCU weaker) results – the latter of which feels more idiosyncratic

ROIC on Capex Showing Through in Engagement, Revenue and Longer-Term Call

META remains the best case study of how GPU-enabled analyses of leading first party data sets can drive material

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the desk and/or the author only. The publication cannot be considered as investment research or a

USA: Initial Jobless Claims Above Expectations; Productivity Growth Stronger Than Expected

BOTTOM LINE: Initial jobless claims increased more than expected in the weekended July 27. The increase was led by a jump in filings in Michigan, which we

July FOMC meeting: Not quite there yet

Not quite there yetIn our view, the main message from the July FOMC meeting is that the Fed is getting closer to a rate cut, but needs more evidence that inflation is under control before it