海外研报

Europe Trembles At the Trump Tremor

The rising odds of a Trump victoryin November are weighing on theperformance of European equities.Investors fear a resumption of thetrade wars that dominated the frstTrump presidency.

SOFR methodology tweak: minimal impact

SOFR changes: no affiliate trades, limit specials impactLast week the NY Fed proposed two very technical changes to the SOFR calculation

2Q24 First Take: Beat supported by overlifts and gas marketing

Equinor reported 2Q24 results this morning (July 24), with group operating incomeat US$7,483 mn, +8% above company-complied consensus of US$6,959mn, and

Euro Area—Measuring Underlying Inflation (Vashkinskaya/Stott)

Underlying inflation in the Euro area remains in focus as one of the three criteriaused by the ECB’s Governing Council to set monetary policy. To analyse the

India budget: closer to the medium-term fiscal target

The Indian government chose a middle path by distributing its non-tax revenue bonanza into revenue spending and fiscal deficit reduction. The

apan: rise in Nikkei due more to power of reflation than economic quality improvement

The ESG Macro Index, which represents the quality of the Japanese economy, improved to 0.81 in Q124 from 0.66 in Q423. The deteriorating

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities were mixed amid a somewhat choppy session (SXXP 0.1%,SX5E 0.4%, Adv 43% of SXXP). DAX (0.8%) and UKX (-0.4%) were the top and worst regions. Tech(1.4%) and Positive Al Sentiment (1.6%%) took

Beyond the Ballot: Existing in the Context…

President Biden’s decision not to seek reelection and the coalescing around Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee have upended the US election campaign.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST has recently revisited March low of 4.40% which remains an interim support. A brief rebound is taking shape, but it would be

RATES & FOREX RESEARCH FOR CORPORATES

US 2Q GDP on Thursday, June PCE inflation on Friday. Euro and UK preliminary PMIs on Wednesday, Canada second rate cut in the balance. Hungary CB SG f/c no change, consensus -25bp. Turkey CBRT f/c on hold.