海外研报
筛选
Commodity mid-year 2024 outlook
Global commodities: With global economic growth cooling (not collapsing), we believe the leg lower on commodities since mid-May is only temporary. To put this
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Quarterly FX revisions
We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Machine Learning Based Trade Recommendations
The CARV model continues the short vol bias in Fixed Income and Credit,while shifting to a long vol bias for most Commodities, led by WTl andprecious metals. In Equities, NlFTY had
海外研报
2024年07月05日
2024 Mid-Year Global Economic Outlook
H24 outcomes have aligned with our top-down views. Global growth hascooled to a still solid 2.4%ar and is less dependent on a US demand engineNotably, the Western Europe recovery
海外研报
2024年07月05日
2024 Mid-year outlook
We expect Treasury yields to remain rangebound through the summer, with a declinefrom current levels expected later this year only once the Fed begins easingYields tend to
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Employment Report Preview: Slower job growth
June payrolls slow to 210k because of softening demand for and supply of labor. We forecast no change in the unemployment rate at 4.0%; if weaker demand dominates, unemployment
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Atradius 经济展望 软着陆
预计 2024 年全球增长率为 2.6% ， 与 12 月经济展望相比上调 0.5% 。由于更强劲的需求前景和更高的移民 ， 美国经济的韧性突出。 2025 年增长可能会略有改善 ， 达到 2.8％ ， 随着通胀持续下降 ， 购买力也会有所改善。
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Economics Focus
On Sunday at 20:00 CET, we should have a broad idea of the make-up of the National Assembly. At around 22:00 CET, we will likely have a fairly clear view on the final make-up.
海外研报
2024年07月08日
DMP: En Route to August
The june iteration of the Decision Maker Panel survey supports our call for anAugust cut. Wage expectations and perceived pricing power are softening, andrealised inflation took a decent step lower in
海外研报
2024年07月08日
Into the Second Round
With the second-round French election on 7 July, we discuss key election-related developments in the days following first-round
海外研报
2024年07月08日
