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Downgrade Retail to Neutral: 2Q24 Promos Suggest Weakening Demand

We downgrade Retail to Neutral from Positive on erosion ofinventory margin recapture as promos intensify and demand
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Global Markets Daily: US HY Is an Imperfect Election Instrument (Rogers)

While the ongoing market correction has taken center stage in recent sessions,the policy implications of the US elections remain a key topic among investors.
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Resist The Urge To Buy The Dip

The risk-off mood that dominated markets on Thursday, Friday and the early stages of Monday's trading amiddismal payrolls, tech earnings and manufacturing PMls seems to have dissipated for the time being. Thepositive signal from July's iSM services
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Treasury Curve: Own 2 -Year/10-Year Curve Steepeners

According to BCA Research's US Bond Strategy service, Friday's employment report caused financiamarkets to price-in some .
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Next week...this week

The JulyCPl reportin theUSdueWednesdaywillbe amongthekeyreleasesfornextweek ahead of the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium on August 22-24. Our USeconomistsexpectboth headlineandcore torise +0.20%MoMvs-0.1%and +0.1%MoM pace
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Europe Weekly Kickstart Deep summertime blues

Global equities stand 6% below their mid-July peak.Most equity markets saw a correction, triggered by weaker
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DM Sovereign Supply Outlook

This week, the US Treasury will auction a new 3Y T.Note.10Y T.Note and 30Y T.Bond
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Global bond flows compass

Weekly foreign outflows from local debt in Mexico, HungaryT¼rkiye, and South Africa; inflows into Korea, India, Thailan?and
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Flows & Liquidity Where have we seen most unwinding?

Momentum-driven investors such as CTAs saw a sharp unwind of long equity positions, short yen and short 10y Bund and JGB positions, while
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Global Data Watch

Recent discussion in these pages has focused on the shifting risk bias around our global narrative of sustained growth resilience, sticky inflation, and shallow
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