海外研报

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

Click “here” to listen to the Europe Morning Call.

Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a

The economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for emerging markets

Macro focus: With market-implied probabilities of a second Trump term rising, we take a first look at the potential reverberations for EMs. We view tariff policy as

The return of the rest?

In Friday’s CoTD (link here) we showed that before the 2000 bubble burst, the three “dullest” S&P 500 sectors (Consumer Staples, Healthcare and Utilities) had

CitiFX Techs - US yields: Close to a break

Yields are testing support at 4.40% (March 2024 low), after breaking below the 4.55% support (March 27 low). IF we break belowthis level on a weekly basis, we will open up a 2

Doubtful on growth, hopeful on the market

Investors turn more doubtful on the global growth outlookA net 27% of investors expect softening global growth over the coming 12 months, the

Another month of soft retail spending

Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and

Americas Small Cap Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

Framing The Upside Path to 2025 Operating Income

In this report, we preview AMZN’s upcoming Q2’24 operatingresults and increase our above-Street 2025 GAAP Operating Income

IS TRUMP UNSTOPPABLE?

With markets pricing in surging odds of a Trump win (~67%) and a rising Republican sweep of Congress, a top investor question today is: What, if anything, could thwart a red wave ahead?