海外研报

Olympic (Services) Inflation Bump

We expect headline HICP to decline to 2.3% in August ... The flash print for euro area HICP inflation for August will be published on Friday, August 30 at 10am UK

Impression from Gov. Ueda's Remarks at the House of Representatives: Quick Comment

Ueda's remarks at the House of Representatives in the morning: Gov. Ueda said that "financial and capital markets at home and abroad have still been unstable, so

Continue to Tread Cautiously

We lower our global demand growth forecast from 1.2 to 1.1 mb/d, driven principally by China where lower economic growth, EVs and LNG trucking weigh

Precious Metals Trading Desk View

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed

US Treasury futures: calendar rolls outlook, September-December 2024

RecommendationsTU – Mildly bearish. Positioning is bearish due to record-high asset manager net positioning in the sector. TU roll will likely be sensitive to risk events and front-end moves, including a

The Euro’s powering a balance of payments boom

My colleague Fabien Bossy sent me the chart (below) of the Eurozone current account this morning. Europe’s current account surplus reached EUR 51bn in June, EUR 370bn (2.5% GDP) in

Tariffs and the quest for new markets to drive ODI

China’s latest balance of payments (BOP) data shows that its net direct investmentoutflows (outward minus inward FDI) have picked up very quickly to a historical high.

Budget - Fiscal prudence through reduced capex

The first budget of the newly elected government has chosen to maintain a conservative fiscal approach, despite President-elect Prabowo Subianto suggesting a departure from

Stronger Asian currencies heading into Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech

Asian FX continued to strengthen against the Dollar this week ahead Powell’s keynote speech in the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday evening. This week

Taiwan: Broad Declines in IP and Retail Sales in July

Taiwan’s industrial production (IP) fell 3.3% mom sa in July, with the pace of declineaccelerating from -0.6% the previous month. The outcome was in line with